AI IMPACT: CANBERRA Real Gross Value Added, annual % change
• Growth holds in a narrow 2.1-2.7% band across the horizon — the steadiest of any capital, reflecting an economy anchored by Commonwealth government employment • Canberra is the only capital with GVA growth above baseline in every alternative scenario. Commonwealth employment expands counter- cyclically as AI regulation, displacement response and crisis management functions grow. • Conversely, Canberra captures the least upside in the expansion scenario, as public sector output responds more slowly to private productivity gains than market sectors do.
2025 2026F 2027F 2028F 2029F 2030F
S1: Upside - Expansion
2.9% 2.3% 2.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.5%
S2: Baseline
2.9% 2.1% 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.4%
S3: Downside - AI Bust
2.9% 2.4% 3.6% 3.7% 3.0% 2.6%
S4: Downside - Displacement
2.9% 2.5% 3.0% 3.8% 3.7% 3.6%
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Cushman & Wakefield
Powered by FlippingBook