AI IMPACT: BRISBANE Real Gross Value Added, annual % change
• Growth firms from a soft 2026 toward 2.5% as interstate migration continues and the 2032 Olympic Games construction pipeline builds through the second half of the decade. • The Olympic construction pipeline provides a demand floor that moderates downside outcomes through the end of the decade. • In the displacement case, GVA growth tracks close to baseline through 2028 before the household income drag pulls it modestly below.
2025 2026F 2027F 2028F 2029F 2030F
S1: Upside - Expansion
5.4% 2.1% 2.2% 3.6% 4.0% 4.1%
S2: Baseline
5.4% 1.9% 1.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.5%
S3: Downside - AI Bust
5.4% 1.4% -0.7% 2.9% 3.5% 3.1%
S4: Downside - Displacement
5.4% 2.2% 2.2% 3.0% 2.6% 2.1%
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Cushman & Wakefield
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