AUSTRALIAN PROPERTY INSIGHTS
LIVING WELL
CHART 9
DISCOUNT RATE RANGE – RETIREMENT VS OTHER PROPERTY SECTORS
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Prime Oce (Syd, Melb, Bris)
Prime Oce (Ade & Perth)
Retail - National Regionals
Retail - National Sub- Regionals
Prime Industrial
Specialised Medical Assets
Aged Care (Freehold)
PBSA (Prime) Retirement Villages
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
DISCOUNT RATE SPREAD Despite strong fundamentals, Retirement Living assets continue to trade at a material discount to other operational real estate sectors such as Build-to-Rent (BTR), Purpose-Built Student Accommodation (PBSA), and Aged Care. Discount rates for retirement portfolios typically sit 500–600 basis points higher than core sectors, reflecting perceived risk around liquidity, regulation, and operational complexity. However, this is gradually tightening, particularly for high-
GLOBAL SENTIMENT: AUSTRALIA AS A STRATEGIC RETIREMENT MARKET On the global stage, Australia is viewed as a mature and investable retirement market – sitting between the scale of the US and the institutional infancy of the UK and APAC peers. Global transaction volumes in Senior/Retirement Living have moderated but remained fairly resilient despite broader market caution. While the US continues to dominate activity – often with a stronger healthcare component – interest in Australia remains strong, particularly as investors see as offering opportunity for M&A/scaling strategies.
quality portfolios with: • institutional backing • geographic diversification • track record of strong cashflow performance • flexibility in contract and pricing models
The opportunity for attractive returns over the next market cycle is clear – particularly as investors search for defensive, long-hold asset classes with embedded demand and low correlation to short-term economic shocks.
CHART 10
GLOBAL RETIREMENT LIVING TRANSACTION VOLUME (2015–2025)
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019 2020 2021
2022
2023
2024 2025 YTD
Source: MSCI
10
CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD
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